Books:
Peterson, A.T., Soberón, J., Pearson, R.G.,
Anderson, R.P., Martinez-Meyer, E., Nakamura, M. and M.B. Araújo. 2011. Ecological
Niches and Geographic Distributions. Monographs in Population
Biology, Princeton University Press.
Pearson, R.G. 2011. Driven to Extinction: The
Impact of Climate Change on Biodiversity. Sterling, New York. (UK edition published by the Natural History Museum.)
Research Articles in Refereed Journals:
Fordham, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B., Elith, J., Keith, D., Pearson, R.G., Auld, T., Mellin, C., Morgan, J.W., Regan, T., Tozer, M., Watts, M., White, M., Wintle, B., Yates, C. & Brook, B.W. 2012. Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming? Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02614.x.
Stanton, J. C., Pearson, R. G., Horning, N., Ersts, P. J. & Akçakaya, H. R. 2011. Combining static and dynamic landscape variables in predicting species' range shifts under climate change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, doi: 10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00157.x.
Robinson, L., Elith, J., Hobday, A., Pearson, R.G., Kendall, B.E., Possingham, H.P., Richardson, A.J. 2011. Pushing the limits in marine species distribution modelling: lessons from the land present challenges and opportunities. Global Ecology and Biogeography 20:789-802.
Brook, B.W., Akçakaya, H.R., Keith, D.A., Mace, G.M., Pearson,
R.G., Araújo, M.B. 2009. Integrating bioclimate
with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions
under climate change. Biology Letters 5:723-725.
Pearson, R.G. & Raxworthy, C.J. 2009. The evolution
of local endemism in Madagascar: watershed vs. climatic gradient
hypotheses evaluated by null biogeographic models. Evolution 63:959-967.
Raxworthy, C.J., Pearson, R.G., Zimkus, B., Reddy,
S.B, Deo, A., Nussbaum, R.A. & Ingram, C. 2008. Continental speciation
in Madagascar: contrasting biogeographic patterns of divergence in
the Uroplatus leaf-tailed geckos species radiation. Journal
of Zoology 275:423-440.
Keith, D., Akçakaya, R., Thuiller, W., Midgley, G., Pearson,
R.G., Phillips, S.J., Regan, H, Araújo, M.B., Rebelo,
A, G. 2008. Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling
stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biology
Letters 4:560-563.
Raxworthy, C.J., Pearson, R.G., Rabibisoa, N.,
Rakotondrazafy, A.M., Ramanamanjato, J., Raselimanana, A.P., Wu,
S., Nussbaum, R.A., & Stone, D. 2008. Extinction vulnerability
of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement:
a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar. Global
Change Biology 14:1-18.
Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Virkkala, R., Pearson, R.G. & Körber,
J-H. 2007. Biotic interactions improve prediction of boreal bird
distributions at macro-scales. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16:754-763.
Raxworthy, C.J., Ingram, C., Rabibisoa, N. & Pearson,
R.G. 2007. Applications
of ecological niche modeling for species delimitation: a review
and empirical evaluation using Day Geckos (Phelsuma) from
Madagascar. Systematic Biology 56:907-923.
Hannah, L., Midgley, G., Andelman, S., Araújo, M.B., Hughes,
G., Martínez-Meyer, E., Pearson, R.G. & Williams,
P. 2007. Protected area needs in a changing climate. Frontiers
in Ecology and Environment 5:131-138.
Pearson, R.G., Raxworthy, C.J., Nakamura, M. & Peterson,
A.T. 2007. Predicting species’ distributions from small numbers
of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. Journal
of Biogeography 34:102-117.
Pearson, R.G. 2006. Climate change and the migration
capacity of species. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 21:111-113.
Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B.,
Brotons, L., Martínez-Meyer, E., McClean, C., Miles, L., Segurado,
P., Dawson, T.P. & Lees, D. 2006. Model-based uncertainty
in species’ range prediction. Journal of Biogeography 33:1704-1711.
Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. & Pearson, R.G. 2006.
Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal
of Biogeography 33:1712-1728.
Del Barrio, G., Harrison, P.A., Berry, P.M., Butt, N., Sanjuan,
M., Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. 2006. Integrating
multiple modelling approaches to predict the potential impacts of
climate change on species distributions in contrasting regions: comparison
and implications for policy. Environmental Science and Policy 9:129-147.
Liu, C., Berry P.M., Dawson T. P. & Pearson, R.G. 2005.
Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography 28:385-393.
Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. 2005. Long-distance
plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: identifying conservation
targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change. Biological
Conservation 123:389-401.
Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W. & Erhard,
M. 2005. Validation of species-climate impact models under climate
change. Global Change Biology 11:1504-1513.
Araújo, M.B. & Pearson, R.G. 2005. Equilibrium
of species’ distributions with climate. Ecography 28:693-695.
Williams, P.H., Hannah, L., Andelman, S.J, Midgley, G.F., Araújo,
M.B., Hughes, G., Manne, L.L., Martinez-Meyer, E. & Pearson,
R.G. 2005. Planning for climate change: identifying minimum-dispersal
corridors for the Cape Proteaceae. Conservation Biology 19:1063-1074.
Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. 2004. Bioclimate
envelope models: what they detect and what they hide – response
to Hampe (2004). Global Ecology and Biogeography 13:471-473.
Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G.,
Whittaker, R.J., Brotons, L. & Lavorel, S. 2004. Biodiversity
conservation: uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk. Nature 430:33
(doi: 10.1038/Nature02716).
Pearson, R.G., Dawson T.P. & Liu, C. 2004.
Modelling species distributions in Britain: a hierarchical integration
of climate and land-cover data. Ecography 27: 285-298.
Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. 2003. Predicting
the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are
bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography 12:361-371.
Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P., Berry, P.M. & Harrison,
P.A. 2002. SPECIES: a Spatial Evaluation of Climate Impact on the
Envelope of Species. Ecological Modelling 154:289-300.
Berry, P. M., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A. & Pearson,
R.G. 2002. Modelling potential impacts of climate
change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland. Global
Ecology and Biogeography 11:453-462.